Brookings33%
Supporting children and incentivizing employment: The future of the Earned Income Tax Credit and the Child Tax Credit 67%
By Sarah Calame86% Tara Watson86%
7/13/2026, 9:00:04 AM
BS Summary: This article contains 15 faulty reasoning types, including Overconfidence Bias, Status Quo Bias, and Representativeness Heuristic, with Confirmation Bias as the most egregious example at 16% saturation with 67 hits. Analysis detected 486 faulty-reasoning hits from 419 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 60.4% and a BS Rank of 67% (7,365 of 21,886 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 66.40% of the article peer group.
Over the past several decades, the social safety net has been reoriented towards providing economic support for low-income families through the tax code.
Refundable tax credits, meaning those that can yield a payment even if the tax filer has no tax liability, have largely supplanted monthly cash welfare transfers and are now among the largest federal tax expenditures.
The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) operates as a wage subsidy for low-income workers, with most of the benefits going to families with children.
The Child Tax Credit (CTC) is a credit for families with children except those with very low and very high incomes.
Combined, the credits can yield transfers of $10,000 or more for some families.
The credits also serve overlapping populations: the vast majority of families with children receiving the refundable portion of the CTC also receive the EITC, and vice versa.
The structure of the combined EITC and CTC are shown in the figure below.
It is sensible to assess the intersection of the two programs and outline how they might be designed to meet their twin goals of promoting work and reducing material hardship.
In principle, separating them into a worker credit and a child credit could yield more simplicity in the tax code, could boost resources to workers without children who currently receive very little, and could reduce error rates induced by misassignment of children to adults.
Several existing proposals – including one from the Aspen Economic Strategy Group, one from the Niskanen Center, and one proposed by then-Senator Romney – have moved in this direction.
Our report identifies strengths and weaknesses in each of these proposals.
However, none of these examples fully separate the credits.
Specifically, the following changes would yield improvements at more modest cost: (a) adopting the primary caregiver standard such as that proposed by Niskanen, which would designate an adult eligible to claim a child at birth, (b) improving the targeting of the CTC by expanding the amount available to low-income families and phasing out the benefit sooner, and (c) expanding the EITC for childless workers.
The EITC and CTC have become cornerstones of the U.S. safety net for families with children as well as core elements of the income tax system more generally, achieving twin goals of promoting work and alleviating poverty.
With some modest reforms, policymakers can help the CTC and EITC achieve these goals more effectively.
Read the full report
Analysis
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