Topic summary

⁠7%2 analyzed articles/videos1,322 analyzed words

BS Summary: These Forecasting results contain 31 faulty reasoning types, including Negativity Bias, Overconfidence Bias, and Biased Writer Voice, with Appeal to Authority as the most egregious example at 8.4% saturation with 404 hits. Analysis detected 2,553 faulty-reasoning hits from 4,837 analyzed words across 2 articles, generating a BS Score of 1.7% and a BS Rank of ⁠12% (12,690 of 14,417 topics). This Forecasting is better (less manipulative) than 88.00% of the peer group.

Forecasting

Topic ranking list

Percentile	Topic	BS Score
⁠0%	Holocaust	1%
⁠0%	Privacy Policy	1%
⁠0%	Terms Of Use	1%
⁠0%	Self-Driving Cars	1%
⁠0%	Self Driving Cars	1%
⁠12%	Forecasting (selected)	2%
⁠100%	Radio Roundup / Week In Review	60%
⁠100%	E-Bikes / Rad Power Bikes	60%
⁠100%	E Bikes Rad Power Bikes	60%
⁠100%	The Last Word With Lawrence O'donnell	69%
⁠100%	The Last Word With Lawrence Odonnell	69%

Topic details

Total words: 4,837

Article count: 2

Authors

Achim Zeileis

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Attribute Prevalence (Top 48)

Forecasting attribute prevalence percentages (biases/fallacies), sorted highest to lowest.

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Forecasting vs sitewide

Forecasting attribute percentages, with an overlaid sitewide baseline for those same attributes.

Analyzed articles and videos

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Tropical Storm Bertha forms in the Gulf of Mexico and could bring heavy rain to US coastal areas, forecasters say⁠^27%

OPB⁠^9%7/21/2026, 12:20:04 AM

We ran 100,000 computer simulations of the World Cup. And the winner will be …⁠^12%

The Conversation⁠^0%By Achim Zeileis⁠^0%6/9/2026, 12:19:44 PM