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Gen. Keane: Iran CAN'T withstand this much longer...
Morning, this is retired General, Jack Keane.
He's a Fox News strategic analyst and the best guest we could have on this.
Um, there are reports that there's a possibility that this IRGC commander, Vahidi, is possibly making at least calling some shots at least.
He's the senior most commander there, the most influential position in the regime.
He served as a Quds Force commander from '88 to '97.
I'm sure you probably know his name.
And this from a Nuran report Saturday night that the from your Institute for the Study of War.
The IRGC's consolidation of control over Iranian decision making indicates that the Iranian political officials currently negotiating with the US do not have the authority to independently determine Iran's negotiating position.
And if that's the case, what happens to these talks when and if the Vice President gets there?
Well, I think you're reporting on something I'm familiar with, obviously because I have an association with the Institute of the Study of War.
I I That's our best sources are revealing that information. Uh, and what what we're happening here, we shouldn't be surprised.
We had the supreme leader killed.
And his son has taken over, but clearly he's got serious injuries and he has not been able to demonstrate that he is really in charge except for some message trafficking that's going out there.
So, there's a leadership vacuum for sure.
And it's being filled by the IRGC leadership.
And it's not su- surprising.
Why?
Because they have the guns. And that's the reality of what has taken place here.
They they own the force mechanism inside of Iran. And they're forcing the political people, who are also hardliners just as much as Vahidi is, to conform to his will.
And that's the reality of taking place. And what's helping Vahidi in his his power grab here
is the head of the National Security Council, Zolqadr, uh, his he's supporting him. And also Qalibaf, who's the comes out of the speakership of their parliament, is also bending to his will.
the deals, he's not really relevant other than the fact that he has relationships with our negotiating team and he's a useful tool uh, for them.
I suspect they are going to show up at these negotiations, likely because it's in their interest.
When you When you think back on it, what has happened here since the last negotiations?
Well, on the Iranian side it And remind our audience, war is fundamentally a test of will and you can see this will being played out right before our eyes in this war itself.
Since the last negotiations, the Iranians have had the opportunity to ferment a little bit, come together uh, further, get to see each other, uh, sol- solidify their leadership and maybe enhance their will and determination as a result of that.
As opposed to being buried in holes day in and day out and worried about their personal survival.
The second thing that's happened to them is they clearly know how much damage has been done to them and it's significant.
On On our side of it and what the Iranians are counting on is that the will of the American people in terms of their resolve puts pressure on the administration to end the war.
And they they focus on that. The political reality, the economic reality. That's That's what they're hoping on. But the big thing that's happened is President Trump's decision to put down the blockade.
That is a seminal event that has taken place since those negotiations.
And the impact on them, we have just stopped 80% of Iran's revenue sources through oil and through all of those cargo ships that are pushing through their exports. And that's what that cargo ship was all about that we just sequestered.
The reality is that is a profound impact on this regime and they can't withstand it. Let's face it, if that goes on and on for weeks or even months, this regime economically will collapse and they know that.
So, it's not too surprising Dana and Bill here, what what are they doing?
They're saying, "Well, we don't want to negotiate with you until the you stop the blockade."
Because that is such a strategic blocking of their viability.
This regime wants one thing, personal survival of these leaders and the regime to stay in power.
And they know that economic blockade will absolutely challenge their ability to stay in power.
And of course, if we have to return to combat operations and the president is threatening that, added to that, that would be quite significant
as well. So, regime survival is what this is about for them in these negotiations.
General, got about a minute left here.
If these talks were to fall apart and these Iranian hardliners just don't allow a deal to happen, what
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