Trump: Iran conflict is ‘very close to over,’ predicts stock market ‘is going to boom’ 0%

By Lillian Mann0%

4/15/2026, 10:12:20 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 21 faulty reasoning types, including Burden of Proof, Hasty Generalization, and Confirmation Bias, with Optimism Bias as the most egregious example at 27.2% saturation with 135 hits. Analysis detected 1,086 faulty-reasoning hits from 497 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 0% and a BS Rank of 0% (0 of 16,813 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 100.00% of the article peer group.

MIAMI, FLORIDA - APRIL 11: U.S. 
President Donald Trump waves to the media after walking off of Air Force One at Miami International Airport on April 11, 2026 in Miami, Florida. 
President Trump came to town to attend a UFC Fight. 
(Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images) 
OAN Staff Lillian Mann 
3:47 PM  Wednesday, April 15, 2026 
President Donald Trump said the Iran conflict is “very close to over,” expressing optimism that a diplomatic resolution could be reached amid a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. 
On Wednesday, Trump expressed during an interview on “Mornings with Maria” with Fox Business anchor Maria Bartiromo that peace in the Middle East may be closer than we think. 
“I think its close to over, yeah. 
I view it as very close to over,” he told Bartiromo. 
🚨 @MariaBartiromo sat down with @POTUS, who provided an update on the Iran conflict: "I view it as very close to over." pic.twitter.com/E4oXBmm431 
 Mornings with Maria (@MorningsMaria) April 15, 2026 
Despite the lack of a breakthrough at last weekend’s peace talks led by Vice President JD Vance and a team of U.S. diplomats discussing issues regarding Tehran’s nuclear program and enrichment plans, negotiations are set to restart on Thursday. 
“If I pulled up stakes right now, it would take them 20 years to rebuild that country. 
And we’re not finished,” Trump said. 
“We’ll see what happens. 
I think they want to make a deal very badly.” 
The president said the U.S. operation, dubbed “Operation Epic Fury,” was necessary to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons capabilities. 
“I had to divert because if I didn’t do that, right now, you’d have Iran with a nuclear weapon,” Trump said. 
“And if they had a nuclear weapon, you’d be calling everybody over there ‘sir,’ and you don’t want to do that.” 
Trump also emphasized that oil prices  which have soared recently due to supply disruptions  would soon fall back down, predicting that as soon as the conflict subsides the “stock market is going to boom, it’s already booming.” 
On Monday, Vance commented that despite the lack of agreement, U.S. officials and Iranian officials had made “a lot of progress” during their meeting. 
He claimed that what happens next in the conflict ultimately rests in Iran’s hands. 
“The ball is very much in their court. 
You ask what happens next, I think the Iranians are going to determine what happens next,” Vance told Fox News. 
VICE PRESIDENT VANCE says the ball is in Iran's court after peace talks collapsed: "We made very clear, look, these are the things that we're willing to give, but these are the things that we must have. 
We must have the enriched material out of Iran. 
We must have their conclusive… pic.twitter.com/DA9Je52Qu0 
 Fox News (@FoxNews) April 13, 2026 
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Confirmation Bias
20.1%
Anchoring Bias
0%
Availability Heuristic
5.8%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
0%
Overconfidence Bias
11.5%
Framing Effect
16.3%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
1.2%
Optimism Bias
27.2%
Pessimism Bias
0%
Negativity Bias
0%
Self-Serving Bias
8.2%
Fundamental Attribution Error
4.8%
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
In-Group Bias
0%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
3%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
12.5%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
3.4%
False Dilemma
4.2%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Hasty Generalization
22.1%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
4.2%
Begging the Question
1.8%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
16.1%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
25.6%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
0%
Anecdotal
0%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
10.1%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
0%
Quote-first Misdirection
7.6%
Biased Writer Voice
9.7%
Indoctrination
0%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
3%

497 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.