KQED61%

First Big Bay Area Wildfire Scare of the Season Makes No Movement Overnight 46%

By Samantha Kennedy30%

7/18/2026, 7:07:02 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 11 faulty reasoning types, including Optimism Bias, Anchoring Bias, and Status Quo Bias, with Anecdotal as the most egregious example at 20.9% saturation with 67 hits. Analysis detected 349 faulty-reasoning hits from 321 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 48.5% and a BS Rank of 46% (9,717 of 17,928 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 54.20% of the article peer group.

Firefighters are optimistic that a wildfire burning in unincorporated Contra Costa County since Friday afternoon won’t expand, after reporting no forward progress overnight. 
Evacuation warnings for the approximately 51-acre blaze, known as the Morgan Fire, near Mount Diablo have been lifted and containment is at 30%, according to Cal Fire. 
“We likely won’t reach 100% containment today, but we’re pretty confident that we’ll keep the fire within the footprint it is now at that 51 acres,” said Marcus Hernandez, unit chief for Cal Fire’s Santa Clara unit. 
The fire  which was estimated to be around 125 acres in its first hours, before being revised by Cal Fire to its current size thanks to “better mapping”  initially alarmed some residents, and deterred at least one from recreating on Mount Diablo this weekend. 
“Uh, yeah. 
Don’t go,” one person wrote in response to a social media user asking whether they should go hiking in the area. 
The incident was reported to the agency around 3:15 p.m. on Friday at Morgan Territory and Marsh Creek roads. 
By around 10 p.m. on Friday, forward progress had been stopped. 
The Contra Costa Community Warning System gave the “All clear” to those in evacuation warning zones at 6:50 a.m. 
Hernandez said that there will be 23 engines and two helicopters working to knock the fire down today, with resources also coming from Contra Costa and Sonoma county departments. 
Cal Fire reports that 242 personnel are battling the fire. 
There have been no reports of damaged structures, but Hernandez said that one firefighter was treated for a minor injury. 
That injury was first reported at 7:45 a.m. 
Saturday. 
Cal Fire is investigating the cause, with an officer from the agency collecting data at the site yesterday, according to Hernandez. 
Hernandez said that crews will continue working through the day to contain the fire. 
Confirmation Bias
0%
Anchoring Bias
14.3%
Availability Heuristic
0%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
0%
Overconfidence Bias
11.5%
Framing Effect
0%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
14.3%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Optimism Bias
18.7%
Pessimism Bias
0%
Negativity Bias
6.2%
Self-Serving Bias
0%
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
In-Group Bias
0%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
0%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
3.4%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
0%
False Dilemma
0%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Hasty Generalization
0%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
0%
Begging the Question
0%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
0%
Anecdotal
20.9%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
0%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
0.6%
Quote-first Misdirection
0.6%
Biased Writer Voice
11.5%
Indoctrination
6.5%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
0%

321 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.