Defense Outlook: A CSIS Series on Strategy ⁠14%

By Drupal Admin⁠36%

1/15/2016, 8:33:17 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 8 faulty reasoning types, including Appeal to Authority, Optimism Bias, and Overconfidence Bias, with Halo Effect as the most egregious example at 26.3% saturation with 146 hits. Analysis detected 499 faulty-reasoning hits from 555 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 31.7% and a BS Rank of ⁠14% (11,881 of 13,766 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 86.30% of the article peer group.

Defense Outlook: A CSIS Series on Strategy, Budget, Forces, and Acquisition 
Listing Summary 
In January of 2016, CSIS launched a new International Security Program initiative examining the dynamics and interlinkages of strategy, budget, forces, and acquisition on the current and future state of the U.S. 
Armed Forces. 
Drupal Admin 
Fri, 01/15/2016 - 15:33 
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Contributors 
John J. 
Hamre 
Todd Harrison 
Mark F. 
Cancian 
Andrew Philip Hunter 
Kathleen H. 
Hicks 
Downloads 
Defense Acquisition Trends, 2015 
Document 
Defense Acquisition Trends, 2015.pdf 
Defense Modernization Plans through the 2020s 
Document 
Defense Modernization Plans through the 2020s.pdf 
Defense Outlook 2016 
Document 
Defense Outlook 2016.pdf 
Programs & Projects 
International Security Program 
Parent 
Former Programs 
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Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images 
Listing Summary 
The CSIS International Security Program (ISP) is a constant source of reliable analysis on the international security and defense landscape, particularly with growing competition between the United States and such countries as China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea 
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About 
Experts and Affiliates 
ISP Programs 
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Defense 360 
Parent 
Defense and Security 
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Photo credit: U.S. 
Navy from https://www.flickr.com/photos/usnavy/36162973322/in/photostream/ 
Listing Summary 
Defense 360 is your one-stop shop for all things CSIS defense analysis - defense360.csis.org 
Defense Budget Analysis 
Parent 
Defense and Security 
Featured Image 
GettyImages-2186280635_Crop1.jpg 
Listing Summary 
The Defense Budget Analysis Program leads the Center’s efforts to provide in-depth, nonpartisan research and analysis of defense funding issues 
Navigation 
Staff and Affiliates 
Analysis 
Events 
Defense Futures Simulator 
Center for the Industrial Base 
Parent 
Defense and Security 
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Listing Summary 
Reimagining government-industry collaboration to foster innovation, build capacity, and achieve victory. 
Navigation 
About 
Focus Areas 
The Future of Land Power 
Analysis 
Events 
All About the Base 
Shipbuilding 
Project Archives 
Industry-Government Collaboration 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
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Listing Summary 
Engaging in dialogue with government officials and industry partners as well as through focused research, CIB explores this critical partnership and its effect on important national security topics 
Impact of Budget Constraints 
Parent 
Center for the Industrial Base 
Featured Image 
Photo: SC Fiasco from https://www.flickr.com/photos/30352125@N00/2994921185 
Listing Summary 
Leveraging data and acquisition expertise, DIIG analyzes the effects of the defense drawdown on the defense industrial base 
DoD and Federal Industrial Base Challenges 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
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251230_CIB_DoD.JPG 
Listing Summary 
CIB convenes experts and policy makers to discuss the workings of the federal acquisition system and industrial base challenges and conducts research to explore potential reforms 
Government Contracting Trends 
Parent 
Focus Areas 
Featured Image 
GettyImages-1434610269_cropped.jpg 
Listing Summary 
Understanding how evolving contracting practices shape innovation and industrial competitiveness, CIB fosters dialogue on how acquisition and procurement mechanisms can better support national security 
Defense and Security 
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Listing Summary 
The CSIS Defense and Security Department tackles the most complex issues shaping the global security landscape. 
Amid a rapid shift in the global balance of power, our research offers practical solutions to the hardest national security strategy questions—from the state of U.S. readiness to the role of emerging tech in defense, and beyond. 
We get national security, and we aim to make it stronger. 
Topics 
Defense and Security 
Defense Budget and Acquisition 
Defense Industry, Acquisition, and Innovation 
Defense Strategy and Capabilities 
Event Dates 
Wed, 01/27/2016 - 20:00 
- Wed, 01/27/2016 - 22:00 
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Event Type 
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Confirmation Bias
0%
Anchoring Bias
0%
Availability Heuristic
0%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
0%
Overconfidence Bias
8.6%
Framing Effect
0%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Optimism Bias
13%
Pessimism Bias
0%
Negativity Bias
0%
Self-Serving Bias
0%
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
In-Group Bias
6.8%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
26.3%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
0%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
20%
False Dilemma
0%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Hasty Generalization
0%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
0%
Begging the Question
0%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
0%
Anecdotal
0%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
0%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
0%
Quote-first Misdirection
0%
Biased Writer Voice
8.6%
Indoctrination
4%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
2.5%

555 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.