When ripples become tidal waves: Can we predict when the next global crisis will hit? 19.9%
BBC - By Laurie Clarke - 4/23/2026, 10:00 AM
Appeal to Authority 23% - Ambiguity (Equivocation) 15.9% - Overconfidence Bias 12.1%
Spotting the events that might lead to a major period of upheaval is notoriously difficult. Could artificial intelligence be the crystal ball we need? Four hundred years ago in what is now the Czech Republic, tossing your enemy out of a window was a dramatic way to make a political statement. On 23 May 1618, in the chancellery of Prague... more