Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 4 best bets include a side and two player props ^39.5%

OutKick - By Geoff Clark - 5/24/2026, 6:39 PM

Recency Bias 9.3% - Confirmation Bias 9% - Appeal to Emotion 9%

Besides the New York Knicks, who are destroying the East, the Oklahoma City Thunder had the most impressive performance so far this postseason vs. the San Antonio Spurs in Game 3 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals. The Thunder weathered the storm after the Spurs 15 points in their 123-108 Game 3 win. The foul merchant himself, Shai... more

The 152nd Kentucky Derby picks: Best bets, exactas, trifectas and late Pick 5 ^72.6%

OutKick - By Geoff Clark - 5/2/2026, 5:12 PM

Recency Bias 15.5% - Hasty Generalization 15% - Representativeness Heuristic 14.3%

The 2026 Kentucky Derby is finally here. I’m no professional shark, but I’ve spent hours grinding through Beyer figures to ensure I’m not just throwing money away at Churchill Downs. I’m focusing strictly on the late-day heater: Races 8 through 12. These are my personal picks for the biggest day in sports, culminating in the 152nd... more

It's 'Nut-Crunching Time' In Circa Million VII: NFL Week 17 Picks ^89.6%

OutKick - By Geoff Clark - 12/26/2025, 10:51 PM

Two weeks to go, no room for a 3-2 or worse. Here is my NFL Week 17 card, ranked by confidence with full matchup notes. With only two weeks left in the NFL regular season, every pick in the Circa Million VII is critical. Entering NFL Week 17, I'm in the money (top-100) and 5.5 games behind the leader. However, I need to win out for a... more