MS NOW95%

Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro reports to prison and offers a lesson about accountability74%

By Steve Benen98%

11/26/2025, 5:22:33 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 20 faulty reasoning types, including Availability Heuristic, Negativity Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Confirmation Bias as the most egregious example at 23.5% saturation with 148 hits. Analysis detected 937 faulty-reasoning hits from 630 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 66.3% and a BS Rank of 74% (4,528 of 16,813 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 73.10% of the article peer group.

By all appearances, Jair Bolsonaro hoped to avoid going to prison. 
The former Brazilian president, who was convicted of plotting what was effectively a coup, was caught taking a soldering iron to his ankle monitor just days before his 27-year prison sentence was scheduled to begin. 
But those efforts ultimately failed, and the fate awaiting the authoritarian leader known as the "Trump of the Tropics" proved unavoidable. 
The Associated Press reported: 
"Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro on Tuesday started his 27-year prison sentence for leading a coup attempt, to the surprise of many in the South American nation who doubted he would ever end up behind bars. 
Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who has overseen the case, ruled Bolsonaro will remain in custody after being preemptively arrested on Saturday." 
The developments coincide with news out of France, where the nation's highest court on Wednesday upheld a conviction against former President Nicolas Sarkozy, further proving that accountability against former heads of state is possible. 
From an American perspective, there is a variety of relevant political angles to Bolsonaro ending up behind prison bars. 
For example, Donald Trump tried to use U.S. trade policy to intervene on behalf of his like-minded ally, which was ridiculous for all sorts of reasons. 
There are also some lingering questions about whether the Republican planned to welcome Bolsonaro to U.S. soil "in the very near future," despite the Brazilian's criminal conviction. 
But there's another dimension to this that's especially relevant in the U.S. 
Bolsonaro committed a specific kind of crime: He lost his reelection bid in Brazil a few years ago, at which point he plotted against his government and orchestrated Jan. 6-style violence as part of a bid to hold onto office despite the will of the voters. 
He was charged and found guilty, becoming the first former president in the country's history to be convicted for attacking democracy. 
Bolsonaro also joined a large, ignominious club. 
As regular readers might recall, all kinds of democracies have held criminal suspects accountable  even if they're politically powerful, and even if they served in government at the highest levels. 
Italy prosecuted a former prime minister. 
France prosecuted a former president and a former prime minister. 
South Africa prosecuted a former president. 
South Korea prosecuted a former president and is in the process of prosecuting another. 
Israel has prosecuted more than one former prime minister. 
Germany prosecuted a former president. 
Portugal prosecuted a former prime minister. 
Croatia prosecuted a former prime minister. 
Argentina prosecuted a former president. 
Austria prosecuted a former chancellor. 
Pakistan prosecuted a former prime minister. 
These cases did not lead to violence. 
The criminal cases were tried without incident. 
These countries' political systems persevered just fine, without talk of institutional breakdown. 
The cases did not turn their countries into "banana republics," and the judiciaries in these nations saw no need to elevate their former heads of state above the law. 
With this in mind, two prominent scholars, Johns Hopkins' Filipe Campante and Harvard's Steven Levitsky, recently wrote an op-ed in The New York Times reflecting on the bigger picture. 
"In both the United States and Brazil, then, elected presidents assaulted democratic institutions, seeking to maintain themselves in power after losing re-election. 
Both power grabs failed  initially," they wrote. 
"But that's where the two histories diverge. 
Americans did remarkably little to protect their democracy from the leader who had assaulted it." 
"With all its flaws, Brazilian democracy is healthier today than America's," the professors said. 
"Keenly aware of their country's authoritarian past, Brazil's judicial and political authorities did not take democracy for granted. 
Their U.S. counterparts, by contrast, fell down on the job. 
Rather than undermining Brazil's effort to defend its democracy, Americans should learn from it." 
This post updates our related earlier coverage. 
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
Anchoring Bias
0%
Availability Heuristic
18.4%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Confirmation Bias
23.5%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Framing Effect
3%
Fundamental Attribution Error
2.4%
Halo Effect
2.9%
Hindsight Bias
2.9%
Horn Effect
4.9%
In-Group Bias
9%
Loss Aversion
0%
Negativity Bias
16.8%
Optimism Bias
1.9%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
1.6%
Overconfidence Bias
0%
Pessimism Bias
1.3%
Primacy Effect
0%
Recency Bias
2.2%
Representativeness Heuristic
10.8%
Self-Serving Bias
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Ad Hominem
7.5%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
0%
Anecdotal
0%
Appeal to Authority
4.6%
Appeal to Emotion
13.7%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Begging the Question
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Composition/Division
0%
False Dilemma
2.2%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Hasty Generalization
14.6%
Middle Ground
0%
No True Scotsman
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%
Red Herring
0%
Slippery Slope
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Straw Man
4.6%
Tu Quoque
0%

630 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.