Vox52%

A tale of two Trump flip-flops 52%

By Andrew Prokop62%

7/15/2026, 10:45:00 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 24 faulty reasoning types, including Fundamental Attribution Error, Negativity Bias, and Indoctrination, with Biased Writer Voice as the most egregious example at 24.4% saturation with 99 hits. Analysis detected 1,002 faulty-reasoning hits from 406 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 51.4% and a BS Rank of 52% (7,940 of 16,550 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 52.00% of the article peer group.

This story appeared in The Logoff, a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. 
Subscribe here. 
Welcome to The Logoff: Remember the policy changes we wrote about in this newsletter on Monday and Tuesday? 
Neither lasted more than 24 hours  both fell victim to presidential posting. 
What happened? 
On Monday afternoon, the Logoff covered how President Donald Trump said he would charge a 20 percent fee to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. 
But he reversed course on that yesterday morning, posting on Truth Social that he’d “replace” the fee with trade and investment deals that Gulf nations would purportedly make in the US. 
Yesterday afternoon’s Logoff then covered how, after two recent deadly shootings, ICE had been ordered to temporarily stop making traffic stops nationwide. 
But this morning, Trump declared that traffic stops were back on, posting: “The Radical Left Dumocrats would like to see this done, but it won’t happen on my watch.” 
Why did Trump flip-flop? 
The Hormuz fee was a Trump whim that many of his own aides had deep logistical and political qualms about. 
For one, they believed the move could push gas prices higher. 
Secretary of State Marco Rubio had said just last month that “no country is allowed to charge tolls or fees on an international waterway.” 
As Monday stretched on, Trump was deluged with lobbying from Gulf nations who rely on the strait  such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates  and ultimately decided to back down. 
The ICE traffic stop pause followed the opposite trajectory. 
This was a decision made by administration officials without Trump’s knowledge  and when he watched press coverage and heard right-wing criticism of it, he was irate, per CNN. 
What’s the takeaway? 
The reversals show whose criticism and feedback Trump actually cares about. 
Wealthy Gulf leaders and the spectre of higher gas prices helped talk him down from his Hormuz fee. 
And on traffic stops, he ultimately cared less about tamping down national outrage over deadly shootings than he did about preserving his “tough on immigration” reputation and agenda. 
And with that, it’s time to log off… 
A 67-million-year old Tyrannosaurus Rex skeleton sold at auction for a record $50.1 million yesterday to an anonymous bidder. 
Mystery bidder, if you’re reading this, can I stop by and see it? 
Confirmation Bias
7.1%
Anchoring Bias
0%
Availability Heuristic
13.1%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
10.8%
Overconfidence Bias
9.6%
Framing Effect
8.1%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Optimism Bias
0%
Pessimism Bias
0%
Negativity Bias
18%
Self-Serving Bias
4.9%
Fundamental Attribution Error
20.2%
Actor-Observer Bias
7.1%
In-Group Bias
0%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
0%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
11.8%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
5.9%
False Dilemma
6.9%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
7.1%
Hasty Generalization
2.7%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
7.1%
Begging the Question
4.4%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
16%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
0%
Anecdotal
10.8%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
7.6%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
7.1%
Quote-first Misdirection
7.6%
Biased Writer Voice
24.4%
Indoctrination
16.7%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
11.3%

406 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.