The Bulwark72%
Trump Invents His Own Iran War Polls Because the Real Ones Suck 95%
By Sam Stein91%
7/23/2026, 2:00:38 AM
BS Summary: This article contains 9 faulty reasoning types, including Red Herring, Framing Effect, and Availability Heuristic, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 67.3% saturation with 68 hits. Analysis detected 309 faulty-reasoning hits from 101 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 92.1% and a BS Rank of 95% (1,067 of 20,448 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 94.80% of the article peer group.
Sam Stein and Andrew Egger give their takes on Trump's new threats of war crimes to Iran, the new polling showing MAGA support for the war cratering, and the new U.S.-Saudi civilian nuclear agreement.
Plus, they dig into the White House's ever-expanding gold decor of oversized frames, mystery bells, and speculation about Trump's late-night decorating habits.
As always: Watch, listen, and leave a comment.
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Confirmation Bias
0%Confirmation Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
2.8%PublicationThe Bulwark
5.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anchoring Bias
0%Anchoring Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Availability Heuristic
33.7%Availability Heuristic
OverallThis article
33.7%AuthorSam Stein
4.3%PublicationThe Bulwark
3.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Representativeness Heuristic
0%Representativeness Heuristic
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hindsight Bias
0%Hindsight Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Overconfidence Bias
0%Overconfidence Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Framing Effect
45.5%Framing Effect
OverallThis article
45.5%AuthorSam Stein
16.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Loss Aversion
0%Loss Aversion
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Status Quo Bias
0%Status Quo Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Sunk Cost Effect
0%Sunk Cost Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.3%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Optimism Bias
0%Optimism Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Pessimism Bias
0%Pessimism Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.5%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Negativity Bias
67.3%Negativity Bias
OverallThis article
67.3%AuthorSam Stein
28.8%PublicationThe Bulwark
11.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Self-Serving Bias
0%Self-Serving Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%Fundamental Attribution Error
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Actor-Observer Bias
0%Actor-Observer Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.6%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
In-Group Bias
0%In-Group Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
3.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
3.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
3.6%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Halo Effect
0%Halo Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Horn Effect
0%Horn Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%Dunning-Kruger Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Recency Bias
0%Recency Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.9%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Primacy Effect
0%Primacy Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Blind-Spot Bias
0%Blind-Spot Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Ad Hominem
11.9%Ad Hominem
OverallThis article
11.9%AuthorSam Stein
8%PublicationThe Bulwark
3.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Straw Man
0%Straw Man
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
2.8%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Authority
0%Appeal to Authority
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
2.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
3.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
False Dilemma
0%False Dilemma
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
2.5%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Slippery Slope
0%Slippery Slope
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Circular Reasoning
0%Circular Reasoning
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hasty Generalization
0%Hasty Generalization
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
9%PublicationThe Bulwark
8.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Red Herring
55.4%Red Herring
OverallThis article
55.4%AuthorSam Stein
4.7%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Bandwagon
0%Bandwagon
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Emotion
0%Appeal to Emotion
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
5.1%PublicationThe Bulwark
5.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Begging the Question
0%Begging the Question
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.6%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%Post Hoc (False Cause)
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Tu Quoque
0%Tu Quoque
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Burden of Proof
0%Burden of Proof
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Nature
0%Appeal to Nature
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Composition/Division
0%Composition/Division
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anecdotal
21.8%Anecdotal
OverallThis article
21.8%AuthorSam Stein
2.1%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
No True Scotsman
0%No True Scotsman
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
11.9%Ambiguity (Equivocation)
OverallThis article
11.9%AuthorSam Stein
1.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%Gambler’s Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Middle Ground
0%Middle Ground
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Personal Incredulity
0%Personal Incredulity
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Special Pleading
0%Special Pleading
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Genetic Fallacy
0%Genetic Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Unattributed Quote
0%Unattributed Quote
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.6%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Quote-first Misdirection
0%Quote-first Misdirection
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
1.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Biased Writer Voice
33.7%Biased Writer Voice
OverallThis article
33.7%AuthorSam Stein
24.1%PublicationThe Bulwark
15.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Indoctrination
0%Indoctrination
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
3.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
2.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%Politically Left Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
14.2%PublicationThe Bulwark
5.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%Politically Right Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorSam Stein
0.4%PublicationThe Bulwark
0.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
24.8%Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
OverallThis article
24.8%AuthorSam Stein
24.8%PublicationThe Bulwark
4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
101 words analyzed.
Analysis
Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.