Semafor80%
ASML raises forecasts as AI boom boosts sales 84%
By Tom Chivers91%
7/15/2026, 12:12:58 PM
BS Summary: This article contains 13 faulty reasoning types, including Biased Writer Voice, Confirmation Bias, and Post Hoc (False Cause), with Optimism Bias as the most egregious example at 31.8% saturation with 41 hits. Analysis detected 347 faulty-reasoning hits from 129 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 77.3% and a BS Rank of 84% (2,618 of 15,906 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 83.50% of the article peer group.
ASML raised its sales outlook, forecasting that AI-driven demand for computing power will continue to surge.
The Dutch technology giant makes “extreme ultraviolet” lithography machines used to produce the world’s most advanced semiconductors, perhaps the most complicated objects made by man.
The company reported 21% year-on-year sales growth in Q2, and expects more: Strong results from two major customers, Intel and TSMC, indicated further demand, the Financial Times reported.
ASML’s output is a major bottleneck in the AI industry — no other company produces eUV machines and it can only make a few dozen a year.
In a major bet that AI-led demand will continue, it announced plans to boost capacity by 30% next year and a similar amount in 2028.
Confirmation Bias
21.7%Confirmation Bias
OverallThis article
21.7%AuthorTom Chivers
8%PublicationSemafor
3.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anchoring Bias
0%Anchoring Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
4.9%PublicationSemafor
1.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Availability Heuristic
20.9%Availability Heuristic
OverallThis article
20.9%AuthorTom Chivers
2%PublicationSemafor
4.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Representativeness Heuristic
0%Representativeness Heuristic
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0.6%PublicationSemafor
1.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hindsight Bias
0%Hindsight Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
4.5%PublicationSemafor
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Overconfidence Bias
0%Overconfidence Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
3.1%PublicationSemafor
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Framing Effect
6.2%Framing Effect
OverallThis article
6.2%AuthorTom Chivers
15.9%PublicationSemafor
15.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Loss Aversion
0%Loss Aversion
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
1.3%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Status Quo Bias
0%Status Quo Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Sunk Cost Effect
0%Sunk Cost Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Optimism Bias
31.8%Optimism Bias
OverallThis article
31.8%AuthorTom Chivers
13.3%PublicationSemafor
4.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Pessimism Bias
20.9%Pessimism Bias
OverallThis article
20.9%AuthorTom Chivers
4.5%PublicationSemafor
2.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Negativity Bias
0%Negativity Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
12%PublicationSemafor
9.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Self-Serving Bias
0%Self-Serving Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%Fundamental Attribution Error
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
2.3%PublicationSemafor
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Actor-Observer Bias
0%Actor-Observer Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
In-Group Bias
0%In-Group Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
1.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Halo Effect
19.4%Halo Effect
OverallThis article
19.4%AuthorTom Chivers
1.3%PublicationSemafor
2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Horn Effect
0%Horn Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%Dunning-Kruger Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Recency Bias
0%Recency Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
4.4%PublicationSemafor
3.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Primacy Effect
0%Primacy Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Blind-Spot Bias
0%Blind-Spot Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Ad Hominem
0%Ad Hominem
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Straw Man
0%Straw Man
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Authority
0%Appeal to Authority
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
13.7%PublicationSemafor
5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
False Dilemma
0%False Dilemma
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
1.9%PublicationSemafor
2.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Slippery Slope
0%Slippery Slope
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
1.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Circular Reasoning
0%Circular Reasoning
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hasty Generalization
20.9%Hasty Generalization
OverallThis article
20.9%AuthorTom Chivers
16.9%PublicationSemafor
6.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Red Herring
0%Red Herring
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
3.1%PublicationSemafor
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Bandwagon
19.4%Bandwagon
OverallThis article
19.4%AuthorTom Chivers
1.3%PublicationSemafor
0.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Emotion
0%Appeal to Emotion
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
3.6%PublicationSemafor
4.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Begging the Question
19.4%Begging the Question
OverallThis article
19.4%AuthorTom Chivers
1.3%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Post Hoc (False Cause)
21.7%Post Hoc (False Cause)
OverallThis article
21.7%AuthorTom Chivers
13.8%PublicationSemafor
4.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Tu Quoque
0%Tu Quoque
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
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Burden of Proof
0%Burden of Proof
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Nature
0%Appeal to Nature
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Composition/Division
0%Composition/Division
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
1.4%PublicationSemafor
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anecdotal
0%Anecdotal
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
1.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
No True Scotsman
0%No True Scotsman
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
19.4%Ambiguity (Equivocation)
OverallThis article
19.4%AuthorTom Chivers
2.1%PublicationSemafor
2.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%Gambler’s Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
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Middle Ground
0%Middle Ground
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Personal Incredulity
0%Personal Incredulity
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Special Pleading
0%Special Pleading
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
4.2%PublicationSemafor
0.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Genetic Fallacy
0%Genetic Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Unattributed Quote
21.7%Unattributed Quote
OverallThis article
21.7%AuthorTom Chivers
4.5%PublicationSemafor
4.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Quote-first Misdirection
0%Quote-first Misdirection
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
8.5%PublicationSemafor
3.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Biased Writer Voice
25.6%Biased Writer Voice
OverallThis article
25.6%AuthorTom Chivers
14.4%PublicationSemafor
8.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Indoctrination
0%Indoctrination
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0.2%PublicationSemafor
1.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%Politically Left Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
1.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%Politically Right Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
0%PublicationSemafor
0.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
0%Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
OverallThis article
0%AuthorTom Chivers
1.7%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
129 words analyzed.
Analysis
Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.