As an AI Scholar, I Am Now Putting a High Probability on an AI Doomsday ^61.9%

Foreign Policy - By Bhaskar Chakravorti - 3/24/2026, 3:51 PM

Negativity Bias 43.5% - Hasty Generalization 26.3% - Post Hoc (False Cause) 20.4%

For a short month, February’s final week packed in events guaranteed to last us a lifetime. It wasn’t just the United States and Israel going to war with Iran; hidden behind the fury unfolding across the Middle East was a meaningful week for AI, with effects that will be felt by all of humanity. Consider a sampling: Besides the usual... more