NATO's Annual Circus Comes to Turkey 16%

By Eric S. Edelman16%

7/13/2026, 1:30:21 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 9 faulty reasoning types, including Biased Writer Voice, Framing Effect, and Recency Bias, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 32.4% saturation with 68 hits. Analysis detected 292 faulty-reasoning hits from 210 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 32.1% and a BS Rank of 16% (13,225 of 15,741 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 84.00% of the article peer group.

Eric and Eliot catch up for the first time in a month after returning from overseas. 
They break down the latest jackassery, from Graham Platner’s campaign implosion to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan gifting revolvers and live, gold-plated ammunition to the heads of state at the recent NATO summit. 
They assess the NATO summit more broadly and note the caveats to Trump’s promise to provide Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missile defense interceptors. 
Eric unpacks his recent Bulwark piece on the conspiracy of silence at the gathering related to Turkey’s democratic backsliding. 
They also discuss recent investigations into China’s assistance to Russia’s war effort, the state of the “ceasefire” with Iran, and Rahm Emanuel’s speech in Tel Aviv. 
Finally, they trade observations from their travels to France and Eastern Europe. 
Eliot’s latest in the Atlantic (gift link): 
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/america-france-enduring-relationship/687844/? 
gift=KGDC3VdV8jaCufvP3bRsPg9Zn56KAT0A_Vk94nJcGVU&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share 
Eric’s latest in the Bulwark: 
Nate Swanson on Iran overplaying its hand: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iran-won-war-may-lose-peace 
Howard Altman on the problems with the Ukraine Patriot licensing deal: https://www.twz.com/land/ukraine-built-patriot-missiles-wont-be-defending-the-countrys-skies-anytime-soon 
Michael Weiss, Roman Dobrokhotov, and Christo Grozev on China and Russia’s targeting of Starlink: https://theins.press/en/inv/294635 
Leave a comment 
Shield of the Republic is a Bulwark podcast co-sponsored by the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia. 
Read more 
Confirmation Bias
9%
Anchoring Bias
0%
Availability Heuristic
0%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
0%
Overconfidence Bias
0%
Framing Effect
30%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Optimism Bias
0%
Pessimism Bias
3.8%
Negativity Bias
32.4%
Self-Serving Bias
0%
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
In-Group Bias
0%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
0%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
12.4%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
0%
False Dilemma
0%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Hasty Generalization
0%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
9%
Begging the Question
0%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
0%
Anecdotal
5.7%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
0%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
0%
Quote-first Misdirection
0%
Biased Writer Voice
30.5%
Indoctrination
0%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
6.2%

210 words analyzed.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.