ZeroHedge62%

Goldman's Top Derivatives Trader: "Every Now And Then You See A Chart You Can't Unsee, And This Is One Of Them" 97%

By Tyler Durden67%

7/12/2026, 10:51:15 PM

BS Summary: This article contains 10 faulty reasoning types, including Availability Heuristic, Anchoring Bias, and Composition/Division, with Recency Bias as the most egregious example at 65.7% saturation with 138 hits. Analysis detected 711 faulty-reasoning hits from 210 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 95% and a BS Rank of 97% (571 of 14,830 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 96.20% of the article peer group.

Back in March, in the first days of the Iran war, Goldman's derivatives desk guru, Brian Garrett, popularized the phrase Green Dot Sundays (in homage to all the Bloomberg accounts that were up and running well ahead of the Monday morning open). 
But fast forward four months, amid unprecedented market complacency, a tech bubble that has blown 2000 away, and a total reversal of bearish sentiment (not to mention now daily gamma squeezes), Garrett writes in his latest must-read Weekend Prep note (available here for pro subs), that Green Dot Sundays have turned into 'maybe green dot Mondays' (and that's being generous to all those who stay red well into Tuesday, if not beyond). 
As the Goldman trader writes, summer is in full swing almost everywhere you look: cash volumes have declined significantly since the start of July, the vix traded with a 14 handle on Friday, the 1 week straddle is priced similar to what you’d see during new year’s eve holidays, the S&P is less than 0.5% away from another record high  and Goldman's panic indicator closed with a 1 handle (the lowest since covid years). 
Confirmation Bias
34.3%
Anchoring Bias
35.7%
Availability Heuristic
44.3%
Representativeness Heuristic
0%
Hindsight Bias
0%
Overconfidence Bias
0%
Framing Effect
0%
Loss Aversion
0%
Status Quo Bias
0%
Sunk Cost Effect
0%
Optimism Bias
0%
Pessimism Bias
0%
Negativity Bias
34.3%
Self-Serving Bias
0%
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%
Actor-Observer Bias
0%
In-Group Bias
0%
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%
Halo Effect
0%
Horn Effect
0%
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%
Recency Bias
65.7%
Primacy Effect
0%
Blind-Spot Bias
0%
Ad Hominem
0%
Straw Man
0%
Appeal to Authority
10%
False Dilemma
0%
Slippery Slope
0%
Circular Reasoning
0%
Hasty Generalization
34.3%
Red Herring
0%
Bandwagon
0%
Appeal to Emotion
0%
Begging the Question
0%
Post Hoc (False Cause)
0%
Tu Quoque
0%
Burden of Proof
0%
Appeal to Nature
0%
Composition/Division
35.7%
Anecdotal
0%
No True Scotsman
0%
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
0%
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%
Middle Ground
0%
Personal Incredulity
0%
Special Pleading
0%
Genetic Fallacy
0%
Unattributed Quote
0%
Quote-first Misdirection
10%
Biased Writer Voice
0%
Indoctrination
0%
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
34.3%

210 words analyzed.

Speakers

1speaker10%attributed speech189writer words
Voice mapSelect a segment to jump to its words
Selected voice

Brian Garrett

100%flagged-word coverage
21 attributed words100% of attributed speech100% writer coverage
Quote-first Misdirection+100.0 pts
Writer 0%Brian Garrett 100%
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service-38.1 pts
Writer 38%Brian Garrett 0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.