Semafor85%
Depleted stockpiles stoke global oil supply anxiety 98%
By J.D. Capelouto91%
7/15/2026, 10:26:50 PM
BS Summary: This article contains 14 faulty reasoning types, including Negativity Bias, Slippery Slope, and Anecdotal, with Pessimism Bias as the most egregious example at 71% saturation with 88 hits. Analysis detected 393 faulty-reasoning hits from 124 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 96.2% and a BS Rank of 98% (507 of 17,596 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 97.10% of the article peer group.
The renewed fighting between the US and Iran again jeopardizes global oil supplies, after stockpiles were drained earlier in the conflict.
“We’ve burned through all of the buffers we had.
Everything,” one trader told the Financial Times.
Energy markets had some slack to absorb the first shock, but that cushion is “smaller and shrinking further,” International Monetary Fund researchers wrote.
The industry is also anxious over the possibility that Iran could exploit another chokepoint in global commerce by closing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the entrance to the Red Sea, which has served as a critical relief valve for oil shipments from the region.
Tehran “is willing to go all the way,” a Middle East scholar said.
Confirmation Bias
0%Confirmation Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.9%PublicationSemafor
4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anchoring Bias
0%Anchoring Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
1.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Availability Heuristic
17.7%Availability Heuristic
OverallThis article
17.7%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
9.9%PublicationSemafor
4.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Representativeness Heuristic
0%Representativeness Heuristic
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.5%PublicationSemafor
1.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hindsight Bias
0%Hindsight Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
1.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Overconfidence Bias
0%Overconfidence Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
1.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Framing Effect
5.6%Framing Effect
OverallThis article
5.6%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
27.4%PublicationSemafor
15.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Loss Aversion
18.5%Loss Aversion
OverallThis article
18.5%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.7%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Status Quo Bias
0%Status Quo Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Sunk Cost Effect
0%Sunk Cost Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Optimism Bias
0%Optimism Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
3.4%PublicationSemafor
5.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Pessimism Bias
71%Pessimism Bias
OverallThis article
71%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
9.4%PublicationSemafor
3.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Negativity Bias
51.6%Negativity Bias
OverallThis article
51.6%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
25.8%PublicationSemafor
10.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Self-Serving Bias
0%Self-Serving Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.7%PublicationSemafor
1.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Fundamental Attribution Error
0%Fundamental Attribution Error
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.4%PublicationSemafor
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Actor-Observer Bias
0%Actor-Observer Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
In-Group Bias
0%In-Group Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
4.3%PublicationSemafor
1.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
0%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
2.7%PublicationSemafor
0.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Halo Effect
0%Halo Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.7%PublicationSemafor
2.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Horn Effect
0%Horn Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Dunning-Kruger Effect
0%Dunning-Kruger Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Recency Bias
16.9%Recency Bias
OverallThis article
16.9%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
6.6%PublicationSemafor
3.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Primacy Effect
0%Primacy Effect
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.5%PublicationSemafor
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Blind-Spot Bias
0%Blind-Spot Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Ad Hominem
0%Ad Hominem
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.7%PublicationSemafor
0.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Straw Man
0%Straw Man
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.1%PublicationSemafor
0.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Authority
18.5%Appeal to Authority
OverallThis article
18.5%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
10.9%PublicationSemafor
5.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
False Dilemma
0%False Dilemma
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.6%PublicationSemafor
2.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Slippery Slope
35.5%Slippery Slope
OverallThis article
35.5%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
4.3%PublicationSemafor
1.3%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Circular Reasoning
0%Circular Reasoning
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Hasty Generalization
0%Hasty Generalization
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
8.8%PublicationSemafor
7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Red Herring
0%Red Herring
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
2.8%PublicationSemafor
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Bandwagon
0%Bandwagon
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0.7%PublicationSemafor
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Emotion
0%Appeal to Emotion
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
6.9%PublicationSemafor
5.5%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Begging the Question
0%Begging the Question
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Post Hoc (False Cause)
16.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)
OverallThis article
16.9%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
7.5%PublicationSemafor
4.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Tu Quoque
0%Tu Quoque
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Burden of Proof
0%Burden of Proof
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.2%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Appeal to Nature
0%Appeal to Nature
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Composition/Division
0%Composition/Division
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Anecdotal
23.4%Anecdotal
OverallThis article
23.4%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
2.6%PublicationSemafor
1.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
No True Scotsman
0%No True Scotsman
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Ambiguity (Equivocation)
10.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)
OverallThis article
10.5%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.7%PublicationSemafor
2.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Gambler’s Fallacy
0%Gambler’s Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Middle Ground
0%Middle Ground
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
0.1%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Personal Incredulity
0%Personal Incredulity
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Special Pleading
0%Special Pleading
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Genetic Fallacy
0%Genetic Fallacy
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
0%PublicationSemafor
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Unattributed Quote
17.7%Unattributed Quote
OverallThis article
17.7%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
4.9%PublicationSemafor
4.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Quote-first Misdirection
7.3%Quote-first Misdirection
OverallThis article
7.3%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
8.2%PublicationSemafor
3.9%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Biased Writer Voice
5.6%Biased Writer Voice
OverallThis article
5.6%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
20.3%PublicationSemafor
8.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Indoctrination
0%Indoctrination
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.2%PublicationSemafor
1.6%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Left Leaning Bias
0%Politically Left Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
3.8%PublicationSemafor
1.4%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Politically Right Leaning Bias
0%Politically Right Leaning Bias
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.6%PublicationSemafor
0.8%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
0%Attempt to Sell a Product or Service
OverallThis article
0%AuthorJ.D. Capelouto
1.9%PublicationSemafor
0.7%Bar shows this article. Yellow and cyan markers show the selected author and publication averages.
124 words analyzed.
Analysis
Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.